One of the main problems in credit risk management is the correlated default. In large portfolios, computing the default dependencies among issuers is an essential part in quantifying the portfolio's credit. The most important problems related to credit risk management are understanding the complex dependence structure of the associated variables and lacking the data. This paper aims at introdu...

    Background: Use of methamphetamine (MA) and other stimulants has increased steadily over the past 10 years. Risk factor evaluation to reduce the problem in the community is one solution to protect people from addiction. This study aimed at using Bayesian zero- inflated Poisson (ZIP) model to investigate the relationship between the number of using crystal meth and some demogr...

This paper presents an extension of Bayesian networks (BN) applied to reliability analysis of an open gas generator cycle Liquid propellant engine (OGLE) of launch vehicles. There are several methods for system reliability analysis such as RBD, FTA, FMEA, Markov Chains, and etc. But for complex systems such as LV, they are not all efficiently applicable due to failure dependencies between compo...

background : to prepare safe and adequate blood supply to meet patients’ needs and ensure a sufficient number of regular blood donors, knowledge about factors encouraging people to donate blood regularly is essential. considering its importance, we aimed to identifying the effective factors of the return to blood donation in based on zero-inflated count regression models using bayesian approach...

background : the age standardized incidence rates of esophageal cancer in women and men in iran have the fifth and eighth ranks, respectively. due to the high incidence rate of esophageal cancer and the necessity of knowledge of its geographical distribution, the incidence of this cancer was mapped at province and county levels in the present study. methods: the study population of this empiric...