Recent literature has investigated the risk aggregation of a portfolio X = (Xi)1≤i≤n under the sole assumption that the marginal distributions of the risks Xi are specified but not their dependence structure. There exists a range of possible values for any risk measure of S = ∑n i=1Xi and the dependence uncertainty spread, as measured by the difference between the upper bound and the lower boun...

South Africa assumes a significant position in the insurance landscape of Africa. The present research based upon qualitative and quantitative analysis, shows that it shows the characteristics of a Complex Adaptive System. In addition, a statistical analysis of risk measures through Value at risk and Conditional tail expectation is carried out to show how an individual insurance company copes u...

Consider a portfolio of n obligors subject to possible default. We propose a new structural model for the loss given default, which takes into account the severity of default. Then we study the tail behavior of the loss given default under the assumption that the losses of the n obligors jointly follow a multivariate regular variation structure. This structure provides an ideal framework for mo...

Suppose that N is a Z+-valued random variable and that X,X1, X2, . . . is a sequence of independent and identically distributed Z+ random variables independent of N . In this paper we are interested in properties of the conditional variable Nk D =(N | ∑Nj=1 Xj = k). In particular, we want to know the asymptotic behavior of the conditional mean ENk or the conditional variance var Nk as k → ∞. We...

Introduction Algebraic speciications can be used for the speciication of var