the frequent occurrence of currency crises in recent years brought the early warning literature back in the researchers spotlight. in recent years, concept of an early warning system (ews) developed that should be able to identify various costly events, such as currency crises, early enough for policy makers to reduce the costs. this study attempted by using iran's economy quarterly data d...

This paper examines the effects of inflation and currency substitution volatility on the average rates of inflation and currency substitution for twelve emerging market economies. Using a bivariate GARCH-in-Mean model, which accommodates for asymmetric and spillover effects of inflation and currency substitution innovations on their volatilities, we find that for the majority of the countries i...

The Interactions between Debt and Currency Crises – Common Causes or Contagion? In contrast to the well-known twin currency and banking crises the literature has so far neglected a second type of twin crises, the simultaneous occurrence of currency and debt crises. The decision of a government to devalue and/or to default is closely interlinked through the government’s intertemporal budget cons...

This paper examines how unhedged currency exposure of firms varies with changes in currency flexibility. A sequence of four time-periods with alternating high and low currency volatility in India provides a natural experiment in which changes in currency exposure of a panel of firms is measured, and the moral hazard versus incomplete markets hypotheses tested. We find that firms carried higher ...

Currency trading is a vast and highly profitable business. This review examines the profitability of two popular currency trading strategies in light of currency-market microstructure research. The carry-trade strategy involves borrowing a low-interest currency and investing the proceeds in a high-interest currency. Technical trading strategies are determined exclusively on the basis of past as...

This paper examines the effect of currency conversion programs from Swiss franc-denominated loans to other on risk for banks in Central and Eastern Europe (CEE). franc mortgage proliferated CEE countries prior financial crisis contributed volume non-performing as strongly appreciated during post-crisis period. Empirical findings suggest that loan reduced mismatches francs but increased foreign ...

While invoicing currency has been extensively studied in open-economy macroeconomics, Dotsey and Duarte (2011) suggest that the currency denomination of exports does not matter because standard invoicing currency regimes such as producer currency pricing (PCP) and local currency pricing (LCP) generate similar aggregate responses. However, this paper demonstrates the importance of invoicing curr...