نتایج جستجو برای: بیثباتی volatility

تعداد نتایج: 19457  

 Up to now, the impact of real exchange rate on the non-oil exports of Iran has been mainly on focus. However, the more important aspect of the fluctuations in exchange rate is its degree of volatility which can have profound effect on the non-oil exports. Hence, the main objective of this paper is to investigate the linkage between non-oil exports and the real exchange rate volatility for Iran...

This study examines the impacts of real exchange rate fluctuations on the companies' strategic investments in Iran. The data of 92 listed companies in Tehran Stock Exchange during the period of 2002-2015areused. First, the volatility of exchange rate is estimated by the Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH). The model is estimated by GMM and system GMM methods. The r...

Land and urban housing have been affected by speculative demands due to heterogeneity, immobility and profitability, and have led to an increase of land and housing prices. The government, with the aim of controlling the housing market volatility, can play an important role in preventing the diversion of capital from the real sector to the housing sector and its multiple shocks. In this researc...

2005
Eric Zivot

A key problem in financial econometrics is the modeling, estimation and forecasting of conditional return volatility and correlation. Having accurate forecasting models for conditional volatility and correlation is important for accurate derivatives pricing, risk management and asset allocation decisions. It is well known that conditional volatility and correlation are highly predictable. An in...

2012

Volatility as a phenomenon as well as a concept remains central to modern financial markets and academic research. The link between volatility and risk has been to some extent elusive, but stock market volatility is not necessarily a bad thing. In fact, fundamentally justified volatility can form the basis for efficient price discovery. In this context volatility dependence that implies predict...

Journal: :تحقیقات اقتصادی 0
غلامرضا کشاورز دانشیار دانشگاه صنعتی شریف هادی حیدری پژوهش‎گر اقتصاد، فارغ التحصیل دانشگاه صنعتی شریف

this paper examines the impact of 2005 presidential election of iran on the tehran stock exchange volatility as a political shock. it uses garch family (fiegarch, egarch, and garch) and markov regime switching (mrs) models as the analytical frameworks for the main the stock daily prices index. our findings confirm statistical validity of arima – fiegarch-x and ar(1) mrs as appropriate specifica...

Journal: :اقتصاد و توسعه کشاورزی 0
محمدعلی فلاحی مسعود همایونی فر زهرا یاوری

as the world trade is growing, exchange rate acts as a bridge between different economies and its volatility can affect price level, output, exports and imports. the purpose of this study is to investigate the effects of real exchange rate volatility on the export demand for the two products of apple and potato in the nine developing counteries of producing and exporting the two products during...

Journal: :اقتصاد و توسعه کشاورزی 0
سید ابوالقاسم مرتضوی امید زمانی مهدی نوری هیمن نادر

abstract exchange rate volatility is one of the effective and ambiguous factors in agricultural products export. regarding the importance of agricultural trade, to avoid single-product economy, the main aim of this study is to investigate the impact of exchange rate volatility on the pistachio export of iran during 1338-1386. for this purpose, exchange rate volatility index was estimated using ...

Journal: :IJAEC 2011
Shih-Yung Wei Jack J. W. Yang Jen-Tseng Chen Wei-Chiang Hong

The asymmetric volatility, temporary volatility, and permanent volatility of financial asset returns have attracted much interest in recent years. However, a consensus has not yet been reached on the causes of them for both the stocks and markets. This paper researched asymmetric volatility and short-run and long-run volatility through global financial crisis for eight Asian markets. EGARCH and...

2001
Shaun A. Bond Soosung Hwang

The low level of volatility observed in appraisal-based commercial property indices relative to other asset classes has been frequently noted and extensively commented on in the Real Estate finance literature. However, the volatility of such commercial property indices is only one source of information on the second moment of commercial property returns. The volatility of securitised property r...

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