_______________________________________ The relative behavior of surface-crown fire spread rate modeling systems used in three fire management applications—CFIS (Crown Fire Initiation and Spread), FlamMap and NEXUS— is compared using fire environment characteristics derived from a dataset of destructively measured canopy fuel and associated stand characteristics. Although the surface-crown mode...

temporal and spatial variations of fire behavior can be predicted using one of the semi-physical or empirical models developed over recent years. this article investigates the effect of different fuel moisture conditions on fire spread and behavior in national golestan park in july 2011 using farsite, flammap simulation systems, and previous ignition history. landscape data contains the topogra...

This research focuses on the use of Esri’s ArcFuels and Missoula Fire Sciences Laboratory’s FlamMap to produce a wildfire exposure analysis on structures affected by the Charlotte Fire. Exposure analysis involves producing both conditional flame length and burn probability, which are combined to determine a structure’s wildfire risk. The individual datasets within the model were tested for accu...

conclusions using the simulation as a decision making tool helps us to decide how we can reduce outpatient's waiting time. comparison of outputs of this scenario and the based- case scenario in simulation model shows that combining physician's work time changing with patient's admission time changing (scenario 9) would reduce patient waiting time about 73.09%. due to dynamic and complex nature ...

in previous studies we first concentrated on utilizing crisp simulationto produce discrete event fuzzy systems simulations. then we extendedthis research to the simulation of continuous fuzzy systems models. in this paperwe continue our study of continuous fuzzy systems using crisp continuoussimulation. consider a crisp continuous system whose evolution depends ondifferential equations. such a ...

deregulation policy has caused some changes in the concepts of power systems reliability assessment and enhancement. in this paper, generation reliability is considered, and a method for its assessment using intelligent systems is proposed. also, because of power market and generators’ forced outages stochastic behavior, monte carlo simulation is used for reliability evaluation. generation reli...

abstract in the dynamic and competitive market, managers seek to find effective strategies for new products development. since there has not been a thorough research in this field, this study is based on a review on the risks exist in the npd process and an analysis of risks through fmea approach to prioritize the existent risks and a modeling behavior of the npd process and main risks using sy...