[1] The latest Hadley Centre climate model, HadGEM2‐ES, includes Earth system components such as interactive chemistry and eight species of tropospheric aerosols. It has been run for the period 1860–2100 in support of the fifth phase of the Climate Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5). Anthropogenic aerosol emissions peak between 1980 and 2020, resulting in a present‐day all‐sky top of the atm...

Aim: To identify the extent and direction of range shift of Eucalyptus sideroxylon and E. albens in Australia by 2050 through an ensemble forecast of four species distribution models (SDMs). Each was generated using four global climate models (GCMs), under two representative concentration pathways (RCPs). Location: Australia. Methods: We used four SDMs of (i) generalized linear model, (ii) MaxE...

Based on bias-corrected future projections from the Providing REgional Climates for Impacts Studies (PRECIS) regional climate model under both RCP4.5 and 8.5 scenarios over China, extreme climatic events at middle end of twenty-first century are investigated in this paper. The performance PRECIS is validated using comparisons with observations HadGEM2-ES projections, bias correction adds fideli...

Abstract Regional climate models (RCM) are the main tools for change impacts assessment in hydrological studies. These models, however, often show biases when compared to historical observations. Bias Correction (BC) useful techniques improve projection outputs. This study presents a multi-criteria decision analysis (MCDA) framework compare combinations of RCM with selected BC methods. The comp...

Kurakl?k yerkürede ya?ayan tüm canl? varl?klar?n ya?am?n? sürdürebilmesi için gerekli su miktar?n?n belirli bir zaman süresince ortalaman?n alt?na dü?mesi sonucu ya?anan k?tl???n? ifade eden do?al afettir. Çal??mada yar? kurak iklimde bulunan Türkiye’de s?k?nt?s? Sakarya Havzas? uygulama yap?lm??t?r. Veri olarak meteoroloji gözlem istasyonlar?ndan al?nan gözlemlenmi? ya??? verileri ile HadGEM2-...