in recent years, various time series models have been proposed for financial markets forecasting. in each case, the accuracy of time series forecasting models are fundamental to make decision and hence the research for improving the effectiveness of forecasting models have been curried on. many researchers have compared different time series models together in order to determine more efficient ...

ecological changes resulting from climate conditions can severely affect human societies especially in the area of economy and safety. climate catastrophes may cause social and economic tension. forecasting such changes accurately can help the government to control the disasters and to achieve possible benefits (such as water supply in flood). weather forecasting is the application of science a...

Problem statement: Forecasting of electricity load demand is an essential activity and an important function in power system planning and development. It is a prerequisite to power system expansion planning as the world of electricity is dominated by substantial lead times between decision making and its implementation. The importance of demand forecasting needs to be emphasized at all level as...

Background and Objectives: Efficient cost management in hospitals’ pharmaceutical inventories have the potential to remarkably contribute to optimization of overall hospital expenditures. To this end, reliable forecasting models for accurate prediction of future pharmaceutical demands are instrumental. While the linear methods are frequently used for forecasting purposes chiefly due to their si...

In this study, an adaptive demand-forecasting approach adopting the data-mining technique which detects the correlation between the target variable and other related elements, is proposed. With the inclusion of the scheme of the time-series analysis based on the state-space approach, this approach has two characteristic points. One is the state-space which is formed by principal components comp...

This paper presents a meta-forecasting approach for recommending the most appropriate forecasting technique for an intermittent demand series based on a multinomial logistic regression classifier. The meta-forecaster is based on a mapping between a demand attribute space and the best forecasting technique. The demand attribute space is based on the estimates from the demand series of the follow...

artificial neural networks (anns) are flexible computing frameworks and universal approximators that can be applied to a wide range of time series forecasting problems with a high degree of accuracy. however, despite of all advantages cited for artificial neural networks, they have data limitation and need to the large amount of historical data in order to yield accurate results. therefore, the...

Despite several individual forecasting models that have been proposed in the literature, accurate forecasting is yet one of the major challenging problems facing decision makers in various fields, especially financial markets. This is the main reason that numerous researchers have been devoted to develop strategies to improve forecasting accuracy. One of the most well established and widely use...

Improving time series forecastingaccuracy is an important yet often difficult task.Both theoretical and empirical findings haveindicated that integration of several models is an effectiveway to improve predictive performance, especiallywhen the models in combination are quite different. In this paper,a model of the hybrid artificial neural networks andfuzzy model is proposed for time series for...

improving time series forecastingaccuracy is an important yet often difficult task.both theoretical and empirical findings haveindicated that integration of several models is an effectiveway to improve predictive performance, especiallywhen the models in combination are quite different. in this paper,a model of the hybrid artificial neural networks andfuzzy model is proposed for time series for...