a r t i c l e i n f o JEL classification: E31 E44 E52 Keywords: Monetary policy rule Nonlinear model Stock market Structural break Time-varying coefficient This paper introduces nonlinearity and a structural break to the US forward-looking Taylor rule with a stock price gap, thereby alleviating the robustness problem that the linear Taylor rule is sensitive to minor changes of the sample period...

The stock market has always been an attractive area for researchers since no method has been found yet to predict the stock price behavior precisely. Due to its high rate of uncertainty and volatility, it carries a higher risk than any other investment area, thus the stock price behavior is difficult to simulation. This paper presents a “data mining-based evolutionary fuzzy expert system” (DEFE...

This paper employs a general non-linear analysis tool to analyse the nature of time series associated with the price (returns) of a particular company in Tehran Stock Exchange. It is shown that the behavior of the process associated with the price (returns) time-series of this company is weakly chaotic, and due to the non-random behavior of the process, short term prediction of stock price is p...

S tock returns of companies listed on the stock exchange is one of the most important criteria in assessing the macroeconomic. This study investigates the effect of exchange rate Volatility on the stock exchange Returns of D8 countries. It takes monthly data during the period (2008:1-2015:6) constituting 90 observations. At first we used Panel-GARCH model to estimate Exchange Rate Vo...

The problem of optimal portfolio selection has attracted a great attention in the finance and optimization field. The future stock price should be predicted in an acceptable precision, and a suitable model and criterion for risk and the expected return of the stock portfolio should be proposed in order to solve the optimization problem. In this paper, two new criterions for the risk of stock pr...

the aim of this paper is analyzing the role of psychology of numbers in financial markets and in this area, investigates the price clustering phenomenon in trading prices of tehran stock exchange. price clustering is one of anomalies that have been observed in financial markets that representative psychological biases or tendency to specific numbers in the market. this phenomenon includes of de...

While explicitly assuming that stock price conveys valuable information to the management, we show that the value loss from diversification is a function of the stock price informativeness. More informed stock trading leads to a more efficient investment and a smaller diversification discount. © 2007 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

Monthly price and stock data are used to test the influence of Philippine government buffer-stock programs on seasonal and annual variability of producer and consumer rice prices. The period examined is 1974-1990. NFA stock changes are shown to have had some stabilizing influence on seasonal and annual price changes, but the magnitude is small and not statistically significant.