In the period November 2003 to February 2004, there was an unambiguous upward trend in the U.S. stock market. Over the same period, the U.S. dollar kept depreciating against all major currencies. Analysts kept trying to predict when this downward trend would come to an end based on the U.S. trade deficit. Was not the exchange rate affected by the stock market instead? In this paper, I study if ...

The current international integration of financial markets provides a channel for currency depreciation to affect stock prices. Moreover, the recent financial crisis in Asia with its accompanying exchange rate volatility affords a case study to examine that channel. This paper applies a bivariate GARCH-M model of the reduced form of stock market returns to investigate empirically the effects of...

In this research, we proposed a new metaheuristic technique for stock portfolio multi-objective optimization employing the combination of Strength Pareto Evolutionary Algorithm (SPEA), Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) and Arbitrage Pricing Theory (APT). To generate the more precise model, ANFIS has implemented to envisage long-term movement values of the Tehran Stock Exchange (TSE)...

In this analysis the interdependence between foreign exchange markets and stock markets for selected accession and cohesion countries is discussed. This includes basic theoretical approaches. Monthly data for the nominal stock market indices and nominal exchange rates are used, where Ireland, Portugal, Spain, Greece, Poland, Czech Republic, Slovenia, and Hungary are included in the analysis. Fr...

One of the most important problems in modern finance is finding efficient ways to summarize and visualize the stock exchange market. This research proposes a smart algorithm by means of valuable big data that is generated by stock exchange market and different kinds of methodology to present a smart model.In this paper, we investigate relationships between the data and access to their lat...

This paper examines the causal relationship between stock prices and macroeconomic aggregates in Iran, by applying the techniques of the long–run Granger non–causality test proposed by Toda and Yamamoto (1995). We test the causal relationships between the TEPIX Index and the three macroeconomic variables: money supply, value of trade balance, and industrial production using quarterly data for t...

The jamor purpose of the present research is to predict the total stock market index of Tehran Stock Exchange, using a combined method of Wavelet transforms, Fuzzy genetics, and neural network in order to predict the active participations of finance market as well as macro decision makers.To do so, first the prediction was made by neural network, then a series of price index was decomposed by w...