the difficulty of determining intrinsic value of stock prices have led many people to use technical analysis in order to forecast stock prices in the future. to predict the stock price we need to determine the generating process of stock prices. in recent years many time - series methods have been used for forecasting purposes. one of these methods is the rescaled range analysis (ris). in the a...

Stock market is affected by news and information. If the stock market is not efficient, the reaction of stock price to news and information will place the stock market in overreaction and under-reaction states. Many models have been already presented by using different tools and techniques to forecast the stock market behavior. In this study, the reaction of stock price in the stock market was ...

We show how to solve Merton optimal investment stochastic control problem for Hawkes-based models in finance and insurance, i.e., a wealth portfolio X(t) consisting of bond stock price described by general compound Hawkes process (GCHP), capital R(t) an insurance company with the amount claims risk model based on GCHP. The novelty results consists new those models.

Generally, high oil prices slow economic growth, cause inflationary pressures and creates global imbalances. In addition, oil price volatility increase uncertainty and restrain the much-needed investment in the capital market. Thus, this paper applies the Augmented Dickey Fuller and Johansen Co-integration Tests in which the effect of oil price volatility, crude oil price and stock price is ana...

We consider a renewal jump-diffusion process, more specifically a renewal insurance risk model with investments in a stock whose price is modeled by a geometric Brownian motion. Using Laplace transforms and regular variation theory, we introduce a transparent and unifying analytic method for investigating the asymptotic behavior of ruin probabilities and related quantities, in models with light...

today, stock investment has become an important mean of national finance. apparently, it is significant for investors to estimate the stock price and select the trading chance accurately in advance, which will bring high return to stockholders. in the past, long-term trading processes and many technical analysis methods for stock market were put forward. however, stock market is a nonlinear sys...

During the past three decades, medical malpractice insurance has experienced periodic crises of lack of available coverage and/or increased price of coverage.1 One solution in some states has been the implementation of public medical malpractice insurance plans, the most common type being Patient Compensation Funds (PCFs).2 By definition, PCFs offer insurance for medical malpractice liability t...

This study examined the role of positive and negative discretionary accrual management in the stock price impact. A sample of 66 firms listed in Tehran Stock Exchange was selected for a ten-year period (2008-2017). Accrual management was found to lead to significant changes in stock prices, and uninformed investors incur trading costs caused by the stock price impact. The results showed two key...