In this research, monthly rainfall of Shiraz synoptic station from March 1971 to February 2016 was studied using different time series models by ITSM Software. Results showed that the ARMA (1,12) model based on Hannan-Rissanen method was the best model which fitted to the data. Then, to assess the verification and accuracy of the model, the monthly rainfall for 60 months (from March 2011 to Feb...

The need for accurate modeling of rainfall-runoff-sediment processes has grown rapidly in the past decades. This study investigates the efficiency of black-box models including Artificial Neural Network (ANN) and Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average with eXogenous input (ARIMAX) models for forecasting the rainfall-runoff-sediment process. According to the complex behavior of the rainfall-ru...

Hydrological models are used to represent the rainfallrunoff and pollutant transport mechanisms within watersheds. Accurate representation of these dynamic and complex natural processes within a watershed is an important step in managing and protecting a watershed Artificial neural network (ANN) models are often used in hydrologic modeling. Typical ANN models are trained to use lumped data. How...

C. L. Wu and K. W. Chau* 2 Dept. of Civil and Structural Engineering, Hong Kong Polytechnic University, 3 Hung Hom, Kowloon, Hong Kong, People’s Republic of China 4 5 *Email: [email protected] 6 ABSTRACT 7 Data-driven techniques such as Auto-Regressive Moving Average (ARMA), K-Nearest-Neighbors (KNN), and 8 Artificial Neural Networks (ANN), are widely applied to hydrologic time series predi...

Accurate modeling and forecasting monthly electricity consumption are the keys to optimizing energy management and planning. This paper examines the seasonal characteristics of electricity consumption in Hong Kong—a subtropical city with 7 million people. Using the data from January 1970 to December 2014, two novel nonlinear seasonal models for electricity consumption in the residential and com...

Building energy models of existing buildings are unreliable unless calibrated so they correlate well with actual energy usage. Calibrating models is costly because it is currently an “art” which requires significant manual effort by an experienced and skilled professional. An automated methodology could significantly decrease this cost and facilitate greater adoption of energy simulation capabi...