نتایج جستجو برای: cgcm3 ar4
تعداد نتایج: 387 فیلتر نتایج به سال:
ارزیابی اثرات پدیده گرمایش جهانی بر رخداد حدی های اقلیمی امری کاملاً بایسته است. لذا در این پژوهش، تغییرات در دمای حداکثر روزانه 44 ایستگاه سینوپتیک در ایران برای دو دوره زمانی آینده نزدیک (70-2041) و آینده دور (99-2071)، تحت دو سناریوی (A2 و B2) از مدل گردش عمومی جو Hadcm3 نسبت به دوره مشاهداتی (2010-1981) مورد بررسی قرار داده شد. همچنین، در زمینه تحلیل میزان عدم قطعیت در پیش بینی رخدادهای دما...
شناخت و ارزیابی تغییرات اقلیم در دهه های آینده با هدف برنامه ریزی محیطی مناسب در جهت سازگاری و کاهش اثرات آن امری کاملاً ضروری است. در این پژوهش نیز تغییرات دمای حداکثر روزانه بر روی کشور ایران در دو دوره زمانی (70-2041 و 99-2071)و بر اساس خروجی دو مدل گردش عمومی جو hadcm3و cgcm3 تحت سناریوهای انتشار موجود ( a1b, a2, b1 , b2) مورد بررسی مقایسه ای قرار گرفت. بدین منظور پس از بررسی توانمندی مدل آم...
One of the main objectives of our current work is the development of new somatostatin analogs that would retain the general characteristics of [Tyr(3)]octreotate (Tate) while showing potential for clinical application. In this respect, study of their interaction with the sst(2) is crucial in providing preliminary structure-activity relationships data. In the present work we report on the synthe...
The climate risk zoning was carried out for cowpea cultivated in northeastern Amazonia, Pará state, Brazil. Système d’Analyse Régionale des Risques Agroclimatologiques (SARRA) crop model used and calibrated from data obtained field experiments conducted between 2013 2016 Castanhal, state of Pará. Low areas were defined as those with water requirement satisfaction index (WRSI) greater than or eq...
The wide ranging potential impacts of climate change on sustainable development and vice versa, suggest that the linkages between these two topics need to be critically analysed. Such an analysis was attempted in the IPCC third assessment report (TAR), and while some progress was made, the work was incomplete. This paper summarizes key lessons from the TAR and relevant post-TAR findings, as a s...
We couple a species range limit hypothesis with the output of an ensemble of general circulation models to project the poleward range limit of gray snapper. Using laboratory-derived thermal limits and statistical downscaling from IPCC AR4 general circulation models, we project that gray snapper will shift northwards; the magnitude of this shift is dependent on the magnitude of climate change. W...
Climate change (precipitation and temperature) has significantly affected the hydrological regimes future climate projection. Integration of model with physical based is crucial for quantitative measurement changes in surface water regime. For accurate estimation, modelling framework need finer scale resolution output. In this study, we examined bias corrected, statistically downscale models dr...
Article 2 of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change [United Nations (1992) http://unfccc.int/resource/docs/convkp/conveng.pdf. Accessed February 9, 2009] commits signatory nations to stabilizing greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere at a level that "would prevent dangerous anthropogenic interference (DAI) with the climate system." In an effort to provide some insigh...
[1] The radiative effects from increased concentrations of well-mixed greenhouse gases (WMGHGs) represent the most significant and best understood anthropogenic forcing of the climate system. The most comprehensive tools for simulating past and future climates influenced by WMGHGs are fully coupled atmosphere-ocean general circulation models (AOGCMs). Because of the importance of WMGHGs as forc...
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