نتایج جستجو برای: conditional value at risk

تعداد نتایج: 4771713  

Journal: :international journal of finance, accounting and economics studies 0
fraydoon rahnamay roodposhti professor and faculty member of science and research branch of islamic azad university hamid reza vaezi ashtiani phd student, science and research bracnh, faculty of management and economics bahman esmaeili phd student, university of tehran

investors use different approaches to select optimal portfolio. so, optimal investment choices according to return can be interpreted in different models. the traditional approach to allocate portfolio selection called a mean - variance explains. another approach is markov chain. markov chain is a random process without memory. this means that the conditional probability distribution of the nex...

پایان نامه :وزارت علوم، تحقیقات و فناوری - دانشگاه علامه طباطبایی 1390

ارزش در معرض ریسک یکی از مهمترین معیارهای اندازه گیری ریسک در بنگاه های اقتصادی می باشد. برآورد دقیق ارزش در معرض ریسک موضوع بسیارمهمی می باشد و انحراف از آن می تواند موجب ورشکستگی و یا عدم تخصیص بهینه منابع یک بنگاه گردد. هدف اصلی این مطالعه بررسی کارایی روش copula-garch شرطی در برآورد ارزش در معرض ریسک پرتفویی متشکل از دو سهام می باشد و ارزش در معرض ریسک بدست آمده با روشهای سنتی برآورد ارزش د...

Journal: :Statistical Methods and Applications 2016
Konrad Furmanczyk

Assuming absolute continuity of marginals, we give the distribution for sums of dependent random variables from some class of Archimedean copulas and the marginal distribution functions of all order statistics.We use conditional independence structure of random variables from this class of Archimedean copulas and Laplace transform. Additionally, we present an application of our results to VaR e...

Journal: :Computational Statistics & Data Analysis 2009
Markus Haas Stefan Mittnik Marc S. Paolella

An asymmetric multivariate generalization of the recently proposed class of normal mixture GARCH models is developed. Issues of parametrization and estimation are discussed. Conditions for covariance stationarity and the existence of the fourth moment are derived, and expressions for the dynamic correlation structure of the process are provided. In an application to stock market returns, it is ...

Journal: :journal of quality engineering and production optimization 2015
nima hamta mohammad fattahi mohsen akbarpour shirazi behrooz karimi

in today’s competitive business environment, the design and management of supply chainnetwork is one of the most important challenges that managers encounter. the supply chain network shouldbe designed for satisfying of customer demands as well as minizing the total system costs. this paper presentsa multi-period multi-stage supply chain network design problem under demand uncertainty. the prob...

1999
Dirk Ormoneit Ralph Neuneier

We suggest a new methodology to overcome several well-known deeciencies of Value at Risk computations. Our approach mainly addresses two aspects of Value at Risk: rst, to avoid potentially disastrous clustering in predicted tail events we derive a new approach to accurately estimating the conditional distribution of asset returns using maximum entropy densities. Second, by the very nature of th...

Journal: :international journal of industrial engineering and productional research- 0
reza babazadeh m.s. student in department of industrial engineering, college of engineering, university of tehran, tehran, iran. reza tavakkoli-moghaddam professor in department of industrial engineering, college of engineering, university of tehran, tehran, iran jafar razmi associate professor in department of industrial engineering, college of engineering, university of tehran, tehran, iran

design of a logistics network in proper way provides a proper platform for efficient and effective supply chain management. this paper studies a multi-period, multi echelon and multi-product integrated forward-reverse logistics network under uncertainty. first, an efficient complex mixed-integer linear programming (milp) model by considering some real-world assumptions is developed for the inte...

پایان نامه :وزارت علوم، تحقیقات و فناوری - دانشگاه شاهد - دانشکده علوم انسانی 1392

در این تحقیق، ما مدل بهینه سازی پورتفولیو را با استفاده از ارزش در معرض ریسک انجام داده و نشان دادیم که روش بهینه سازی چند-دوره ای در مقایسه با روشهای معمولی بهینه سازی نتایج بهتری را بدست می دهد. ما با استفاده از سناریوهای درختی اقدام به تولید احتمالات وقوع سناریوها نموده و سپس در هر سناریو بهترین و بهینه ترین مورد ممکن را با استفاده از روش ارزش در معرض ریسک احتمالی را انتخاب کرده و اقدام به ر...

Fossil energy markets have always been known as strategic and important markets. They have a significant impact on the macro economy and financial markets of the world. The nature of these markets are accompanied by sudden shocks and volatility in the prices. Therefore, they must be controlled and forecasted by using appropriate tools. This paper adopts the Generalized Auto Regressive Condition...

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