نتایج جستجو برای: probability analysis
تعداد نتایج: 2979246 فیلتر نتایج به سال:
در این پایان نامه نشان داده ایم که چگونه می توان مدل ریسک بیمه ای اسپیرر اندرسون را به کمک زنجیره های مارکوف تعریف کرد. سپس به کمک روش های آنالیز ماتریسی احتمال برشکستگی ، میزان مازاد در هنگام برشکستگی و میزان کسری بودجه در زمان وقوع برشکستگی را محاسبه کرده ایم. هدف ما در این پایان نامه بسیار محاسباتی و کاربردی تر از روش های است که در گذشته برای محاسبه این احتمال ارائه شده است. در ابتدا ما نشا...
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this thesis is a study on insurance fraud in iran automobile insurance industry and explores the usage of expert linkage between un-supervised clustering and analytical hierarchy process(ahp), and renders the findings from applying these algorithms for automobile insurance claim fraud detection. the expert linkage determination objective function plan provides us with a way to determine whi...
abstract: one of the most visited & important spaces in different countries by tourist are urban areas. the old tehran which major part is located in district 12 is historical showcase of the capital, but, its hiidden cultural attraction is not used as it should be. this thesis occasionally engage in studying the efficacy of correct installation of travel guide boards in welfare & easily acc...
in this paper, a new framework has been developed for compatibility analysis of predictive climatic variables distribution with reference evapotranspiration (eto) in probabilistic analysis of water requirement. initially, measured monthly meteorological data of four cities of iran including kerman, shiraz, ramsar and babolsar synoptic weather station recorded from 1961 to 2003 were considered b...
the purpose of this article is to present the development of a wind farm, with a condition monitoring system (cms) based on control charts as the algorithm, centred on a new index, to prevent soil pollution by oil spills in wind farms. to this end, temperature sensors can be considered as one of the more significant sensors to be employed in this study, because the information obtained with reg...
the goal of this paper is to show how the concept of fuzzy logic can be used to establish a degree to which an investment project belongs to a class of risk. also, the probability of the fuzzy event is presented and is ap-plied to calculate the probability of the fuzzy event “the project x is a good investment”. this process has to enable the decision maker to compare several alternative invest...
the main objective in sampling is to select a sample from a population in order to estimate some unknown population parameter, usually a total or a mean of some interesting variable. a simple way to take a sample of size n is to let all the possible samples have the same probability of being selected. this is called simple random sampling and then all units have the same probability of being ch...
in this thesis, a structured hierarchical methodology based on petri nets is used to introduce a task model for a soccer goalkeeper robot. in real or robot soccer, goalkeeper is an important element which has a key role and challenging features in the game. goalkeeper aims at defending goal from scoring goals by opponent team, actually to prevent the goal from the opponent player’s attacks. thi...
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